Match Analysis

AbhavsAl Riyadh

KSA Saudi Pro League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

43%
26%
31%
Abha winDrawAl Riyadh win

Key Stats

0.40Points per game1.60
0.57Avg goals scored0.89
1.58Avg goals conceded2.29
0–2–3Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Abha xG

Expected goals

1.2

Al Riyadh xG

54%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

1–0

10%

2–1

9%

0–1

8%

2–0

8%

0–0

7%

Home

Abha

Abha

DLLLD

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

0.6 / 1.6

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Away

Al Riyadh

Al Riyadh

DWLDW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

0.9 / 2.3

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Abha vs Al Riyadh?

Abha is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Abha's current form?

Abha have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 54%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 11 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Abha Win43%
Draw26%
Al Riyadh Win31%
BTTS54%
Over 2.551%