Match Analysis

AbhavsAl Shabab

KSA Saudi Pro League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

19%
21%
60%
Abha winDrawAl Shabab win

Key Stats

0.40Points per game2.20
0.57Avg goals scored2.43
1.58Avg goals conceded1.23
0–2–3Record (W–D–L)3–2–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.1

Abha xG

Expected goals

2

Al Shabab xG

58%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

1–2

10%

0–1

9%

0–2

9%

1–3

7%

0–3

6%

Home

Abha

Abha

DLLLD

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

0.6 / 1.6

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Away

Al Shabab

Al Shabab

WWDWD

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

2.4 / 1.2

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Abha vs Al Shabab?

Al Shabab is favored with a 60% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Abha's current form?

Abha have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 11 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Abha Win19%
Draw21%
Al Shabab Win60%
BTTS58%
Over 2.560%