Match Analysis

Al AhlivsAl Diriyah

KSA Saudi Pro League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

57%
20%
23%
Al Ahli winDrawAl Diriyah win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game1.00
2.65Avg goals scored0.77
2.07Avg goals conceded1.25
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.2

Al Ahli xG

Expected goals

1.3

Al Diriyah xG

65%

Both Teams to Score

68%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

10%

1–1

9%

1–0

7%

2–0

7%

3–1

7%

1–2

6%

Home

Al Ahli

Al Ahli

DLWWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.6 / 2.1

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Al Diriyah

Al Diriyah

DLWDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.8 / 1.3

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Al Ahli vs Al Diriyah?

Al Ahli is favored with a 57% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Al Ahli's current form?

Al Ahli have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 12 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Al Ahli Win57%
Draw20%
Al Diriyah Win23%
BTTS65%
Over 2.568%