Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.1
Al Ahli xG
Expected goals
2.5
Al Nassr xG
81%
Both Teams to Score
84%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–2
7%
2–2
7%
2–1
6%
2–3
6%
1–1
5%
1–3
5%
Home
Al Ahli
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
2.6 / 2.1
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Away
Al Nassr
PPG
3.00
Avg goals
2.7 / 1.1
Last 5
5W 0D 0L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Al Ahli vs Al Nassr?
Al Nassr is favored with a 49% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Al Ahli's current form?
Al Ahli have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 81%. Over 2.5 goals: 84%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 11 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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