Al Diriyahvs
Al Shabab
KSA Saudi Pro League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.1
Al Diriyah xG
Expected goals
1.8
Al Shabab xG
56%
Both Teams to Score
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
11%
0–1
10%
1–2
10%
0–2
9%
0–0
6%
1–0
6%
Home
Al Diriyah
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
0.8 / 1.3
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Away
Al Shabab
PPG
2.20
Avg goals
2.4 / 1.2
Last 5
3W 2D 0L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Al Diriyah vs Al Shabab?
Al Shabab is favored with a 53% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Al Diriyah's current form?
Al Diriyah have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 56%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 12 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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