Match Analysis

Al FaisalyvsAl Nassr

KSA Saudi Pro League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

18%
18%
64%
Al Faisaly winDrawAl Nassr win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game3.00
1.22Avg goals scored2.68
2.06Avg goals conceded1.09
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)5–0–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Al Faisaly xG

Expected goals

2.5

Al Nassr xG

67%

Both Teams to Score

73%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

9%

1–3

8%

0–2

7%

1–1

7%

0–1

6%

0–3

6%

Home

Al Faisaly

Al Faisaly

LWLDW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.2 / 2.1

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Al Nassr

Al Nassr

WWWWW

PPG

3.00

Avg goals

2.7 / 1.1

Last 5

5W 0D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Al Faisaly vs Al Nassr?

Al Nassr is favored with a 64% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Al Faisaly's current form?

Al Faisaly have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 67%. Over 2.5 goals: 73%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 12 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Al Faisaly Win18%
Draw18%
Al Nassr Win64%
BTTS67%
Over 2.573%