Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.2
Al Fateh xG
Expected goals
2.7
Al Nassr xG
65%
Both Teams to Score
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–2
9%
1–3
8%
0–2
7%
0–3
7%
1–1
7%
0–1
5%
Home
Al Fateh
PPG
0.60
Avg goals
1.0 / 2.3
Last 5
1W 0D 4L
Away
Al Nassr
PPG
3.00
Avg goals
2.7 / 1.1
Last 5
5W 0D 0L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Al Fateh vs Al Nassr?
Al Nassr is favored with a 70% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Al Fateh's current form?
Al Fateh have recorded 1W 0D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 12 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
More from Saudi Pro League