Match Analysis

Al FatehvsAl Nassr

KSA Saudi Pro League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

14%
16%
70%
Al Fateh winDrawAl Nassr win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game3.00
0.96Avg goals scored2.68
2.31Avg goals conceded1.09
1–0–4Record (W–D–L)5–0–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

Al Fateh xG

Expected goals

2.7

Al Nassr xG

65%

Both Teams to Score

75%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

9%

1–3

8%

0–2

7%

0–3

7%

1–1

7%

0–1

5%

Home

Al Fateh

Al Fateh

LLLWL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.0 / 2.3

Last 5

1W 0D 4L

Away

Al Nassr

Al Nassr

WWWWW

PPG

3.00

Avg goals

2.7 / 1.1

Last 5

5W 0D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Al Fateh vs Al Nassr?

Al Nassr is favored with a 70% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Al Fateh's current form?

Al Fateh have recorded 1W 0D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 12 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Al Fateh Win14%
Draw16%
Al Nassr Win70%
BTTS65%
Over 2.575%