Match Analysis

Al HazemvsAl Nassr

KSA Saudi Pro League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

20%
19%
61%
Al Hazem winDrawAl Nassr win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game3.00
1.25Avg goals scored2.68
1.91Avg goals conceded1.09
0–3–2Record (W–D–L)5–0–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Al Hazem xG

Expected goals

2.4

Al Nassr xG

66%

Both Teams to Score

71%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

9%

1–1

8%

0–2

7%

1–3

7%

0–1

6%

0–3

6%

Home

Al Hazem

Al Hazem

DDLLD

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.9

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Away

Al Nassr

Al Nassr

WWWWW

PPG

3.00

Avg goals

2.7 / 1.1

Last 5

5W 0D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Al Hazem vs Al Nassr?

Al Nassr is favored with a 61% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Al Hazem's current form?

Al Hazem have recorded 0W 3D 2L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 66%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 12 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Al Hazem Win20%
Draw19%
Al Nassr Win61%
BTTS66%
Over 2.571%