Match Analysis

Al HilalvsAl Ittihad

KSA Saudi Pro League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

53%
21%
26%
Al Hilal winDrawAl Ittihad win

Key Stats

2.40Points per game2.00
2.67Avg goals scored2.03
0.82Avg goals conceded1.03
4–0–1Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2

Al Hilal xG

Expected goals

1.4

Al Ittihad xG

65%

Both Teams to Score

66%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

9%

2–1

9%

1–0

7%

1–2

7%

2–0

7%

2–2

7%

Home

Al Hilal

Al Hilal

WWLWW

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

2.7 / 0.8

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Away

Al Ittihad

Al Ittihad

LDWWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.0 / 1.0

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Al Hilal vs Al Ittihad?

Al Hilal is favored with a 53% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Al Hilal's current form?

Al Hilal have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 11 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Al Hilal Win53%
Draw21%
Al Ittihad Win26%
BTTS65%
Over 2.566%