Al Ittihadvs
Al Shabab
KSA Saudi Pro League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.8
Al Ittihad xG
Expected goals
1.7
Al Shabab xG
68%
Both Teams to Score
68%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
9%
1–2
8%
2–1
8%
2–2
7%
0–1
5%
1–0
5%
Model vs Market
Polymarket · $71K volume
Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.
Home
Al Ittihad
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
2.0 / 1.0
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Away
Al Shabab
PPG
2.20
Avg goals
2.4 / 1.2
Last 5
3W 2D 0L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Al Ittihad vs Al Shabab?
Al Ittihad is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Al Ittihad's current form?
Al Ittihad have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 68%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 11 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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