Match Analysis

Al NassrvsAl Qadsiah

KSA Saudi Pro League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

40%
21%
39%
Al Nassr winDrawAl Qadsiah win

Key Stats

3.00Points per game2.00
2.68Avg goals scored2.90
1.09Avg goals conceded0.98
5–0–0Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2

Al Nassr xG

Expected goals

1.9

Al Qadsiah xG

74%

Both Teams to Score

75%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

8%

2–1

8%

1–2

7%

2–2

7%

1–3

5%

2–3

5%

Home

Al Nassr

Al Nassr

WWWWW

PPG

3.00

Avg goals

2.7 / 1.1

Last 5

5W 0D 0L

Away

Al Qadsiah

Al Qadsiah

WWDLW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.9 / 1.0

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Al Nassr vs Al Qadsiah?

Al Nassr is favored with a 40% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Al Nassr's current form?

Al Nassr have recorded 5W 0D 0L in their last 5 matches (3.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 74%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 12 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Al Nassr Win40%
Draw21%
Al Qadsiah Win39%
BTTS74%
Over 2.575%