Match Analysis

Al RiyadhvsAl Hilal

KSA Saudi Pro League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

12%
16%
72%
Al Riyadh winDrawAl Hilal win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game2.40
0.89Avg goals scored2.67
2.28Avg goals conceded0.82
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)4–0–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1

Al Riyadh xG

Expected goals

2.7

Al Hilal xG

59%

Both Teams to Score

71%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–2

9%

1–2

9%

0–3

8%

1–3

8%

0–1

7%

1–1

7%

Home

Al Riyadh

Al Riyadh

DWLDW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

0.9 / 2.3

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Al Hilal

Al Hilal

WWLWW

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

2.7 / 0.8

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Al Riyadh vs Al Hilal?

Al Hilal is favored with a 72% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Al Riyadh's current form?

Al Riyadh have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 11 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Al Riyadh Win12%
Draw16%
Al Hilal Win72%
BTTS59%
Over 2.571%