Match Analysis

Al RiyadhvsAl Qadsiah

KSA Saudi Pro League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

12%
15%
73%
Al Riyadh winDrawAl Qadsiah win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game2.00
0.89Avg goals scored2.90
2.28Avg goals conceded0.98
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.1

Al Riyadh xG

Expected goals

2.9

Al Qadsiah xG

63%

Both Teams to Score

76%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–2

8%

1–2

8%

1–3

8%

0–3

7%

1–1

6%

1–4

6%

Home

Al Riyadh

Al Riyadh

DWLDW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

0.9 / 2.3

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Al Qadsiah

Al Qadsiah

WWDLW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.9 / 1.0

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Al Riyadh vs Al Qadsiah?

Al Qadsiah is favored with a 73% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Al Riyadh's current form?

Al Riyadh have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 76%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 12 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Al Riyadh Win12%
Draw15%
Al Qadsiah Win73%
BTTS63%
Over 2.576%