Match Analysis

Al ShababvsAl Ahli

KSA Saudi Pro League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

56%
18%
26%
Al Shabab winDrawAl Ahli win

Key Stats

2.20Points per game2.00
2.43Avg goals scored2.65
1.23Avg goals conceded2.07
3–2–0Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.7

Al Shabab xG

Expected goals

1.9

Al Ahli xG

79%

Both Teams to Score

84%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

7%

2–2

7%

3–1

6%

3–2

6%

1–1

5%

1–2

5%

Home

Al Shabab

Al Shabab

WWDWD

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

2.4 / 1.2

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Away

Al Ahli

Al Ahli

DLWWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.6 / 2.1

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Al Shabab vs Al Ahli?

Al Shabab is favored with a 56% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Al Shabab's current form?

Al Shabab have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 79%. Over 2.5 goals: 84%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 11 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Al Shabab Win56%
Draw18%
Al Ahli Win26%
BTTS79%
Over 2.584%