Match Analysis

Neom SCvsAl Ahli

KSA Saudi Pro League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

48%
22%
30%
Neom SC winDrawAl Ahli win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game2.00
1.40Avg goals scored2.65
0.82Avg goals conceded2.07
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2

Neom SC xG

Expected goals

1.6

Al Ahli xG

69%

Both Teams to Score

70%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

9%

2–1

9%

1–2

7%

2–2

7%

3–1

6%

1–0

5%

Home

Neom SC

Neom SC

DWLLD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.4 / 0.8

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Al Ahli

Al Ahli

DLWWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.6 / 2.1

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Neom SC vs Al Ahli?

Neom SC is favored with a 48% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Neom SC's current form?

Neom SC have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 69%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 12 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Neom SC Win48%
Draw22%
Al Ahli Win30%
BTTS69%
Over 2.570%