Match Analysis

AC MilanvsBologna

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

48%
22%
30%
AC Milan winDrawBologna win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game2.40
2.16Avg goals scored1.78
1.31Avg goals conceded1.27
3–0–2Record (W–D–L)4–0–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.9

AC Milan xG

Expected goals

1.5

Bologna xG

66%

Both Teams to Score

66%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

2–1

9%

1–2

7%

2–2

7%

1–0

6%

2–0

6%

Home

AC Milan

AC Milan

WLWLW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

2.2 / 1.3

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Away

Bologna

Bologna

WWWWL

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.3

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win AC Milan vs Bologna?

AC Milan is favored with a 48% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is AC Milan's current form?

AC Milan have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 66%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 11 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

AC Milan Win48%
Draw22%
Bologna Win30%
BTTS66%
Over 2.566%