Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.1
AC Milan xG
Expected goals
1.1
Parma xG
59%
Both Teams to Score
62%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–1
10%
1–0
9%
1–1
9%
2–0
9%
3–1
7%
3–0
6%
Home
AC Milan
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
2.2 / 1.3
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Away
Parma
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
0.9 / 1.5
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win AC Milan vs Parma?
AC Milan is favored with a 60% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is AC Milan's current form?
AC Milan have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 11 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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