Match Analysis

AC MilanvsParma

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

60%
20%
20%
AC Milan winDrawParma win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game0.80
2.16Avg goals scored0.93
1.31Avg goals conceded1.51
3–0–2Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.1

AC Milan xG

Expected goals

1.1

Parma xG

59%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

10%

1–0

9%

1–1

9%

2–0

9%

3–1

7%

3–0

6%

Home

AC Milan

AC Milan

WLWLW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

2.2 / 1.3

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Away

Parma

Parma

LWDLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.5

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win AC Milan vs Parma?

AC Milan is favored with a 60% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is AC Milan's current form?

AC Milan have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 11 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

AC Milan Win60%
Draw20%
Parma Win20%
BTTS59%
Over 2.562%