As Roma vs Atalanta
🇮🇹 Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.7
AS Roma xG
Expected goals
0.8
Atalanta xG
51%
Both Teams to Score
68%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–0
11%
3–0
10%
2–1
9%
1–0
8%
3–1
8%
1–1
7%
Home
AS Roma
PPG
3.00
Avg goals
2.4 / 0.8
Last 5
5W 0D 0L
Away
Atalanta
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
1.2 / 1.2
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win As Roma vs Atalanta?
AS Roma is favored with a 58% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is As Roma's current form?
As Roma have recorded 5W 0D 0L in their last 5 matches (3.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.7.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Serie A meetings, As Roma won 0, drew 2, and Atalanta won 4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 51%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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