Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.7
AS Roma xG
Expected goals
1
Cagliari xG
59%
Both Teams to Score
71%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–0
9%
2–1
9%
3–0
8%
3–1
8%
1–0
7%
1–1
7%
Home
AS Roma
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
2.9 / 1.1
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Away
Cagliari
PPG
0.60
Avg goals
0.9 / 1.6
Last 5
1W 0D 4L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win AS Roma vs Cagliari?
AS Roma is favored with a 73% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is AS Roma's current form?
AS Roma have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.7.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 11 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
More from Serie A