Match Analysis

AS RomavsGenoa

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

65%
19%
16%
AS Roma winDrawGenoa win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game1.80
2.91Avg goals scored1.16
1.06Avg goals conceded1.27
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)3–0–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.4

AS Roma xG

Expected goals

1.1

Genoa xG

61%

Both Teams to Score

68%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

10%

2–0

9%

1–1

8%

3–1

8%

1–0

7%

3–0

7%

Home

AS Roma

AS Roma

WLWWD

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.9 / 1.1

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Genoa

Genoa

LWWWL

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.3

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win AS Roma vs Genoa?

AS Roma is favored with a 65% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is AS Roma's current form?

AS Roma have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 61%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 11 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

AS Roma Win65%
Draw19%
Genoa Win16%
BTTS61%
Over 2.568%