Match Analysis

AS RomavsMonza

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

75%
14%
11%
AS Roma winDrawMonza win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game0.60
2.91Avg goals scored1.46
1.06Avg goals conceded2.17
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)1–0–4

Score Forecast

Poisson model

3.1

AS Roma xG

Expected goals

1.3

Monza xG

69%

Both Teams to Score

81%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

8%

3–1

8%

2–0

6%

3–0

6%

4–1

6%

1–1

5%

Home

AS Roma

AS Roma

WLWWD

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.9 / 1.1

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Monza

Monza

LLLLW

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.5 / 2.2

Last 5

1W 0D 4L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win AS Roma vs Monza?

AS Roma is favored with a 75% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is AS Roma's current form?

AS Roma have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 69%. Over 2.5 goals: 81%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 11 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

AS Roma Win75%
Draw14%
Monza Win11%
BTTS69%
Over 2.581%