โšก Match Analysis

Atalanta vs Bologna

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น Serie A ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

38%
22%
40%
Atalanta winDrawBologna win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.60
1.19Avg goals scored1.48
1.17Avg goals conceded1.34
1โ€“2โ€“2Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)2โ€“2โ€“1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Atalanta xG

Expected goals

1.5

Bologna xG

60%

Both Teams to Score

58%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1โ€“1

11%

1โ€“2

8%

2โ€“1

8%

0โ€“1

7%

1โ€“0

7%

0โ€“2

6%

Home

Atalanta

Atalanta

DLWDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.2

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Bologna

Bologna

DWWDL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.3

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 6 meetings

Atalantaall timeBologna
2W
1D
3W
17 May 26
Atalanta0โ€“1Bologna
7 Jan 26
Bologna0โ€“2Atalanta
13 Apr 25
Atalanta2โ€“0Bologna
28 Sep 24
Bologna1โ€“1Atalanta
3 Mar 24
Atalanta1โ€“2Bologna
23 Dec 23
Bologna1โ€“0Atalanta

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Atalanta vs Bologna?

Bologna is favored with a 40% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Atalanta's current form?

Atalanta have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 Serie A meetings, Atalanta won 2, drew 1, and Bologna won 3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1โ€“1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 60%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 6 meetings ยท home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

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Match Odds

Atalanta Win38%
Draw22%
Bologna Win40%
BTTS60%
Over 2.558%

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Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

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