Match Analysis

AtalantavsComo

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

25%
21%
54%
Atalanta winDrawComo win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game3.00
1.73Avg goals scored1.80
2.29Avg goals conceded0.67
0–3–2Record (W–D–L)5–0–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Atalanta xG

Expected goals

2.1

Como xG

66%

Both Teams to Score

68%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

9%

1–2

9%

0–2

7%

1–3

7%

2–2

7%

0–1

6%

Home

Atalanta

Atalanta

DLDDL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.7 / 2.3

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Away

Como

Como

WWWWW

PPG

3.00

Avg goals

1.8 / 0.7

Last 5

5W 0D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Atalanta vs Como?

Como is favored with a 54% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Atalanta's current form?

Atalanta have recorded 0W 3D 2L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 66%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Atalanta Win25%
Draw21%
Como Win54%
BTTS66%
Over 2.568%