Match Analysis

AtalantavsFrosinone

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

31%
20%
49%
Atalanta winDrawFrosinone win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game2.00
1.62Avg goals scored2.30
1.95Avg goals conceded1.46
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.8

Atalanta xG

Expected goals

2.2

Frosinone xG

74%

Both Teams to Score

76%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

8%

1–1

7%

2–1

7%

2–2

7%

1–3

6%

2–3

5%

Home

Atalanta

Atalanta

WDLDD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.6 / 1.9

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

Frosinone

Frosinone

LWWDW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.3 / 1.5

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Atalanta vs Frosinone?

Frosinone is favored with a 49% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Atalanta's current form?

Atalanta have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 74%. Over 2.5 goals: 76%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 11 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Atalanta Win31%
Draw20%
Frosinone Win49%
BTTS74%
Over 2.576%