Match Analysis

AtalantavsGenoa

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

41%
23%
36%
Atalanta winDrawGenoa win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game1.80
1.62Avg goals scored1.16
1.95Avg goals conceded1.27
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)3–0–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

Atalanta xG

Expected goals

1.5

Genoa xG

63%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

2–1

9%

1–2

8%

1–0

7%

2–2

7%

0–1

6%

Home

Atalanta

Atalanta

WDLDD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.6 / 1.9

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

Genoa

Genoa

LWWWL

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.3

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Atalanta vs Genoa?

Atalanta is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Atalanta's current form?

Atalanta have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 11 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Atalanta Win41%
Draw23%
Genoa Win36%
BTTS63%
Over 2.562%