Match Analysis

AtalantavsInternazionale

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

26%
20%
54%
Atalanta winDrawInternazionale win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game2.40
1.62Avg goals scored2.34
1.95Avg goals conceded1.09
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)4–0–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Atalanta xG

Expected goals

2.2

Internazionale xG

69%

Both Teams to Score

71%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

9%

1–1

8%

1–3

7%

2–2

7%

0–2

6%

2–1

6%

Home

Atalanta

Atalanta

WDLDD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.6 / 1.9

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

Internazionale

Internazionale

WWLWW

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

2.3 / 1.1

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Atalanta vs Internazionale?

Internazionale is favored with a 54% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Atalanta's current form?

Atalanta have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 69%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 11 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Atalanta Win26%
Draw20%
Internazionale Win54%
BTTS69%
Over 2.571%