Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.7
Atalanta xG
Expected goals
1.8
Napoli xG
68%
Both Teams to Score
68%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
9%
1–2
8%
2–1
8%
2–2
7%
0–1
5%
0–2
5%
Home
Atalanta
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.6 / 1.9
Last 5
1W 3D 1L
Away
Napoli
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
1.7 / 1.3
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Atalanta vs Napoli?
Napoli is favored with a 42% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Atalanta's current form?
Atalanta have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 68%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 11 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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