Match Analysis

AtalantavsParma

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

45%
23%
32%
Atalanta winDrawParma win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game0.80
1.73Avg goals scored0.91
2.29Avg goals conceded1.43
0–3–2Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.8

Atalanta xG

Expected goals

1.5

Parma xG

65%

Both Teams to Score

64%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

2–1

9%

1–0

7%

1–2

7%

2–2

7%

0–1

6%

Home

Atalanta

Atalanta

DLDDL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.7 / 2.3

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Away

Parma

Parma

WDLLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.4

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Atalanta vs Parma?

Atalanta is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Atalanta's current form?

Atalanta have recorded 0W 3D 2L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Atalanta Win45%
Draw23%
Parma Win32%
BTTS65%
Over 2.564%