Match Analysis

BolognavsAS Roma

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

30%
21%
49%
Bologna winDrawAS Roma win

Key Stats

2.40Points per game2.00
1.78Avg goals scored2.91
1.27Avg goals conceded1.06
4–0–1Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Bologna xG

Expected goals

2

AS Roma xG

69%

Both Teams to Score

70%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

9%

1–2

9%

2–1

7%

2–2

7%

1–3

6%

0–1

5%

Home

Bologna

Bologna

WWWWL

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.3

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Away

AS Roma

AS Roma

WLWWD

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.9 / 1.1

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Bologna vs AS Roma?

AS Roma is favored with a 49% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Bologna's current form?

Bologna have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 69%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 11 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Bologna Win30%
Draw21%
AS Roma Win49%
BTTS69%
Over 2.570%