Match Analysis

BolognavsMonza

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

59%
19%
22%
Bologna winDrawMonza win

Key Stats

2.40Points per game0.60
1.78Avg goals scored1.46
1.27Avg goals conceded2.17
4–0–1Record (W–D–L)1–0–4

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.3

Bologna xG

Expected goals

1.4

Monza xG

68%

Both Teams to Score

71%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

9%

1–1

8%

2–0

7%

3–1

7%

1–0

6%

1–2

6%

Home

Bologna

Bologna

WWWWL

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.3

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Away

Monza

Monza

LLLLW

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.5 / 2.2

Last 5

1W 0D 4L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Bologna vs Monza?

Bologna is favored with a 59% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Bologna's current form?

Bologna have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 68%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 11 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Bologna Win59%
Draw19%
Monza Win22%
BTTS68%
Over 2.571%