Bologna vs Sassuolo
🇮🇹 Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.9
Bologna xG
Expected goals
1.2
Sassuolo xG
59%
Both Teams to Score
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
10%
2–1
10%
1–0
9%
2–0
8%
1–2
6%
2–2
6%
Home
Bologna
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.5 / 1.3
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
Sassuolo
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
1.1 / 1.3
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Bologna vs Sassuolo?
Bologna is favored with a 52% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Bologna's current form?
Bologna have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.9.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 4 Serie A meetings, Bologna won 2, drew 2, and Sassuolo won 0.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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