Match Analysis

CagliarivsAC Milan

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

25%
22%
53%
Cagliari winDrawAC Milan win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game1.80
0.91Avg goals scored2.16
1.64Avg goals conceded1.31
1–0–4Record (W–D–L)3–0–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Cagliari xG

Expected goals

1.9

AC Milan xG

62%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

1–2

10%

0–1

8%

0–2

7%

2–1

7%

1–3

6%

Home

Cagliari

Cagliari

WLLLL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.6

Last 5

1W 0D 4L

Away

AC Milan

AC Milan

WLWLW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

2.2 / 1.3

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Cagliari vs AC Milan?

AC Milan is favored with a 53% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Cagliari's current form?

Cagliari have recorded 1W 0D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 11 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Cagliari Win25%
Draw22%
AC Milan Win53%
BTTS62%
Over 2.562%