Match Analysis

CagliarivsFrosinone

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

26%
22%
52%
Cagliari winDrawFrosinone win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game2.00
0.91Avg goals scored2.30
1.64Avg goals conceded1.46
1–0–4Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Cagliari xG

Expected goals

2

Frosinone xG

65%

Both Teams to Score

66%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

9%

1–2

9%

0–1

7%

0–2

7%

2–1

7%

2–2

7%

Home

Cagliari

Cagliari

WLLLL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.6

Last 5

1W 0D 4L

Away

Frosinone

Frosinone

LWWDW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.3 / 1.5

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Cagliari vs Frosinone?

Frosinone is favored with a 52% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Cagliari's current form?

Cagliari have recorded 1W 0D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 11 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Cagliari Win26%
Draw22%
Frosinone Win52%
BTTS65%
Over 2.566%