Match Analysis

FiorentinavsAtalanta

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

45%
20%
35%
Fiorentina winDrawAtalanta win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.20
1.77Avg goals scored1.62
2.17Avg goals conceded1.95
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.2

Fiorentina xG

Expected goals

1.9

Atalanta xG

76%

Both Teams to Score

78%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

8%

1–1

7%

1–2

7%

2–2

7%

3–1

6%

2–3

5%

Home

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

DWDLL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.8 / 2.2

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Atalanta

Atalanta

WDLDD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.6 / 1.9

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Fiorentina vs Atalanta?

Fiorentina is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Fiorentina's current form?

Fiorentina have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 76%. Over 2.5 goals: 78%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 11 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Fiorentina Win45%
Draw20%
Atalanta Win35%
BTTS76%
Over 2.578%