Match Analysis

FiorentinavsComo

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

31%
22%
47%
Fiorentina winDrawComo win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game2.40
1.77Avg goals scored1.53
2.17Avg goals conceded0.87
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)4–0–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Fiorentina xG

Expected goals

1.9

Como xG

66%

Both Teams to Score

66%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

1–2

9%

2–1

7%

2–2

7%

0–1

6%

0–2

6%

Home

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

DWDLL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.8 / 2.2

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Como

Como

LWWWW

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

1.5 / 0.9

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Fiorentina vs Como?

Como is favored with a 47% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Fiorentina's current form?

Fiorentina have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 66%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 11 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Fiorentina Win31%
Draw22%
Como Win47%
BTTS66%
Over 2.566%