Match Analysis

FiorentinavsLazio

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

23%
19%
58%
Fiorentina winDrawLazio win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game2.60
1.77Avg goals scored2.46
2.17Avg goals conceded0.92
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)4–1–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Fiorentina xG

Expected goals

2.4

Lazio xG

71%

Both Teams to Score

75%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

9%

1–1

7%

1–3

7%

2–2

7%

0–2

6%

0–1

5%

Home

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

DWDLL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.8 / 2.2

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Lazio

Lazio

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

2.5 / 0.9

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Fiorentina vs Lazio?

Lazio is favored with a 58% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Fiorentina's current form?

Fiorentina have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 71%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 11 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Fiorentina Win23%
Draw19%
Lazio Win58%
BTTS71%
Over 2.575%