Match Analysis

GenoavsFiorentina

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

46%
22%
32%
Genoa winDrawFiorentina win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game1.00
1.16Avg goals scored1.77
1.27Avg goals conceded2.17
3–0–2Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.9

Genoa xG

Expected goals

1.5

Fiorentina xG

66%

Both Teams to Score

66%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

2–1

9%

1–2

7%

2–2

7%

1–0

6%

2–0

6%

Home

Genoa

Genoa

LWWWL

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.3

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Away

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

DWDLL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.8 / 2.2

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Genoa vs Fiorentina?

Genoa is favored with a 46% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Genoa's current form?

Genoa have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 66%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 11 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Genoa Win46%
Draw22%
Fiorentina Win32%
BTTS66%
Over 2.566%