Match Analysis

GenoavsMonza

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

51%
22%
27%
Genoa winDrawMonza win

Key Stats

2.40Points per game0.60
1.19Avg goals scored1.73
1.14Avg goals conceded2.38
4–0–1Record (W–D–L)1–0–4

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2

Genoa xG

Expected goals

1.4

Monza xG

65%

Both Teams to Score

66%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

9%

2–1

9%

1–0

7%

1–2

7%

2–0

7%

2–2

7%

Home

Genoa

Genoa

WWWLW

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.1

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Away

Monza

Monza

LLLWL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.7 / 2.4

Last 5

1W 0D 4L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Genoa vs Monza?

Genoa is favored with a 51% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Genoa's current form?

Genoa have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Genoa Win51%
Draw22%
Monza Win27%
BTTS65%
Over 2.566%