Match Analysis

GenoavsVenezia

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

51%
25%
24%
Genoa winDrawVenezia win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game1.20
1.16Avg goals scored0.72
1.27Avg goals conceded1.65
3–0–2Record (W–D–L)2–0–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Genoa xG

Expected goals

1

Venezia xG

50%

Both Teams to Score

48%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

12%

1–1

12%

2–0

10%

2–1

10%

0–0

7%

0–1

7%

Home

Genoa

Genoa

LWWWL

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.3

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Away

Venezia

Venezia

WLLLW

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

0.7 / 1.7

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Genoa vs Venezia?

Genoa is favored with a 51% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Genoa's current form?

Genoa have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 50%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 11 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Genoa Win51%
Draw25%
Venezia Win24%
BTTS50%
Over 2.548%