Match Analysis

InternazionalevsGenoa

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

58%
21%
21%
Internazionale winDrawGenoa win

Key Stats

2.40Points per game1.80
2.34Avg goals scored1.16
1.09Avg goals conceded1.27
4–0–1Record (W–D–L)3–0–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2

Internazionale xG

Expected goals

1.1

Genoa xG

58%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

2–1

10%

1–0

9%

2–0

9%

3–1

7%

3–0

6%

Home

Internazionale

Internazionale

WWLWW

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

2.3 / 1.1

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Away

Genoa

Genoa

LWWWL

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.3

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Internazionale vs Genoa?

Internazionale is favored with a 58% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Internazionale's current form?

Internazionale have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 11 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Internazionale Win58%
Draw21%
Genoa Win21%
BTTS58%
Over 2.560%