Match Analysis

InternazionalevsSassuolo

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

78%
12%
10%
Internazionale winDrawSassuolo win

Key Stats

2.40Points per game0.00
2.34Avg goals scored1.32
1.09Avg goals conceded2.99
4–0–1Record (W–D–L)0–0–5

Score Forecast

Poisson model

3.4

Internazionale xG

Expected goals

1.2

Sassuolo xG

68%

Both Teams to Score

84%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

3–1

8%

2–1

7%

3–0

7%

4–1

7%

2–0

6%

4–0

6%

Home

Internazionale

Internazionale

WWLWW

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

2.3 / 1.1

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Away

Sassuolo

Sassuolo

LLLLL

PPG

0.00

Avg goals

1.3 / 3.0

Last 5

0W 0D 5L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Internazionale vs Sassuolo?

Internazionale is favored with a 78% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Internazionale's current form?

Internazionale have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 68%. Over 2.5 goals: 84%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 11 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Internazionale Win78%
Draw12%
Sassuolo Win10%
BTTS68%
Over 2.584%