Match Analysis

JuventusvsNapoli

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

40%
25%
35%
Juventus winDrawNapoli win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game1.40
1.23Avg goals scored1.78
1.06Avg goals conceded1.39
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Juventus xG

Expected goals

1.4

Napoli xG

59%

Both Teams to Score

55%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

2–1

9%

0–1

8%

1–0

8%

1–2

8%

0–0

6%

Home

Juventus

Juventus

WWLWD

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.1

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Napoli

Napoli

LLWDW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.4

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Juventus vs Napoli?

Juventus is favored with a 40% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Juventus's current form?

Juventus have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Juventus Win40%
Draw25%
Napoli Win35%
BTTS59%
Over 2.555%