Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.9
Lazio xG
Expected goals
1.8
AS Roma xG
71%
Both Teams to Score
71%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
8%
1–2
8%
2–1
8%
2–2
7%
1–0
5%
1–3
5%
Home
Lazio
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
2.5 / 0.9
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Away
AS Roma
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
2.9 / 1.1
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Lazio vs AS Roma?
Lazio is favored with a 42% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Lazio's current form?
Lazio have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.9.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 71%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 11 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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