Match Analysis

LaziovsAtalanta

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

67%
17%
16%
Lazio winDrawAtalanta win

Key Stats

2.60Points per game1.20
2.46Avg goals scored1.62
0.92Avg goals conceded1.95
4–1–0Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.6

Lazio xG

Expected goals

1.2

Atalanta xG

65%

Both Teams to Score

73%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

9%

2–0

8%

3–1

8%

1–1

7%

3–0

7%

1–0

6%

Home

Lazio

Lazio

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

2.5 / 0.9

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Away

Atalanta

Atalanta

WDLDD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.6 / 1.9

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lazio vs Atalanta?

Lazio is favored with a 67% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lazio's current form?

Lazio have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 73%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 11 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lazio Win67%
Draw17%
Atalanta Win16%
BTTS65%
Over 2.573%