Lazio vs Genoa
🇮🇹 Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.4
Lazio xG
Expected goals
0.8
Genoa xG
41%
Both Teams to Score
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
16%
1–1
12%
0–0
11%
2–0
11%
0–1
9%
2–1
9%
Home
Lazio
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.3 / 1.6
Last 5
2W 0D 3L
Away
Genoa
PPG
0.40
Avg goals
0.5 / 1.1
Last 5
0W 2D 3L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Lazio vs Genoa?
Lazio is favored with a 59% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Lazio's current form?
Lazio have recorded 2W 0D 3L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Serie A meetings, Lazio won 5, drew 0, and Genoa won 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (16% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 41%. Over 2.5 goals: 38%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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