Match Analysis

LaziovsLecce

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

75%
14%
11%
Lazio winDrawLecce win

Key Stats

3.00Points per game0.80
2.72Avg goals scored1.09
0.91Avg goals conceded2.05
5–0–0Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.9

Lazio xG

Expected goals

1

Lecce xG

60%

Both Teams to Score

75%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

9%

2–1

9%

3–0

8%

3–1

8%

1–0

6%

1–1

6%

Home

Lazio

Lazio

WWWWW

PPG

3.00

Avg goals

2.7 / 0.9

Last 5

5W 0D 0L

Away

Lecce

Lecce

DLLLW

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.1 / 2.0

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lazio vs Lecce?

Lazio is favored with a 75% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lazio's current form?

Lazio have recorded 5W 0D 0L in their last 5 matches (3.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 60%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 11 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lazio Win75%
Draw14%
Lecce Win11%
BTTS60%
Over 2.575%