โšก Match Analysis

Lecce vs As Roma

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น Serie A ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

4%
15%
81%
Lecce winDrawAS Roma win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game3.00
1.02Avg goals scored2.43
1.12Avg goals conceded0.42
3โ€“1โ€“1Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)5โ€“0โ€“0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.4

Lecce xG

Expected goals

2.3

AS Roma xG

30%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0โ€“2

18%

0โ€“1

15%

0โ€“3

14%

0โ€“4

8%

0โ€“0

7%

1โ€“2

7%

Home

Lecce

Lecce

WWLWD

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.1

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

AS Roma

AS Roma

WWWWW

PPG

3.00

Avg goals

2.4 / 0.4

Last 5

5W 0D 0L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 6 meetings

Lecceall timeAs Roma
1D
5W
22 Mar 26
AS Roma1โ€“0Lecce
6 Jan 26
Lecce0โ€“2AS Roma
29 Mar 25
Lecce0โ€“1AS Roma
7 Dec 24
AS Roma4โ€“1Lecce
1 Apr 24
Lecce0โ€“0AS Roma
5 Nov 23
AS Roma2โ€“1Lecce

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lecce vs As Roma?

AS Roma is favored with a 81% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lecce's current form?

Lecce have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.4.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 Serie A meetings, Lecce won 0, drew 1, and As Roma won 5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0โ€“2 (18% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 30%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 6 meetings ยท home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

Pick a winner

Leaderboard โ†’

Match Odds

Lecce Win4%
Draw15%
AS Roma Win81%
BTTS30%
Over 2.551%

Find prediction markets โ†’

Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

๐Ÿ“Š