Match Analysis

LeccevsAtalanta

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

37%
21%
42%
Lecce winDrawAtalanta win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game0.60
1.10Avg goals scored1.73
2.23Avg goals conceded2.29
1–0–4Record (W–D–L)0–3–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.9

Lecce xG

Expected goals

2

Atalanta xG

74%

Both Teams to Score

75%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

8%

1–2

8%

2–1

7%

2–2

7%

1–3

5%

2–3

5%

Home

Lecce

Lecce

LLLWL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.1 / 2.2

Last 5

1W 0D 4L

Away

Atalanta

Atalanta

DLDDL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.7 / 2.3

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lecce vs Atalanta?

Atalanta is favored with a 42% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lecce's current form?

Lecce have recorded 1W 0D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 74%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lecce Win37%
Draw21%
Atalanta Win42%
BTTS74%
Over 2.575%