Match Analysis

LeccevsGenoa

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

31%
24%
45%
Lecce winDrawGenoa win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game2.40
1.09Avg goals scored1.19
2.05Avg goals conceded1.14
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)4–0–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Lecce xG

Expected goals

1.6

Genoa xG

58%

Both Teams to Score

55%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

0–1

9%

1–2

9%

0–2

7%

1–0

7%

2–1

7%

Home

Lecce

Lecce

DLLLW

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.1 / 2.0

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Genoa

Genoa

WWWLW

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.1

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lecce vs Genoa?

Genoa is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lecce's current form?

Lecce have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 11 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lecce Win31%
Draw24%
Genoa Win45%
BTTS58%
Over 2.555%