Match Analysis

LeccevsInternazionale

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

22%
20%
58%
Lecce winDrawInternazionale win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game2.40
1.09Avg goals scored2.40
2.05Avg goals conceded1.28
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)4–0–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Lecce xG

Expected goals

2.3

Internazionale xG

68%

Both Teams to Score

71%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

9%

1–1

8%

0–2

7%

1–3

7%

0–1

6%

2–1

6%

Home

Lecce

Lecce

DLLLW

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.1 / 2.0

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Internazionale

Internazionale

WLWWW

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

2.4 / 1.3

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lecce vs Internazionale?

Internazionale is favored with a 58% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lecce's current form?

Lecce have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 68%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 11 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lecce Win22%
Draw20%
Internazionale Win58%
BTTS68%
Over 2.571%